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Northeast
NYC Gets Its One Good Day — Tuesday Turns Cool, Dry, and Clear After Monday's Flash Flood Disaster, But Storms Return Wednesday
After the Tri-State area absorbed one of its most damaging flash flood events in recent memory on Monday, Tuesday is arriving as something of a gift — the NWS New York forecast office issued an Area Forecast Discussion at 1:25 a.m. Tuesday confirming that the thunderstorm threat is now over and that high pressure and dry weather are on tap for the day. NBC New York described Tuesday as "the crown jewel of this week in terms of local weather," with humidity dropping quickly behind the departing cold front and comfortable conditions expected through the afternoon and evening hours.
The overnight clearing allowed for good radiational cooling across outlying areas, and NWS New York flagged patchy fog development for some inland communities during the predawn hours. High temperatures Tuesday are expected to settle in the mid-to-upper 70s across the city and metro, a dramatic improvement from Monday's saturated, tropical conditions. The front's passage cannot come soon enough — Central Park officially recorded 2.64 inches of rain on Monday, the metro's heaviest single-day total in over two years, and the MTA dealt with widespread flooding-related service suspensions throughout the evening commute.
There is one significant caveat to Tuesday's otherwise pleasant forecast: the NWS continues to flag a borderline moderate to high rip current risk along area ocean beaches through Tuesday evening, driven by a residual 4-to-5-foot swell at seven-second intervals from the southeast. The High Surf Advisory issued for portions of Brooklyn, Nassau, Queens, and Suffolk County beaches remains in effect through the evening, and life-threatening rip currents are expected for anyone entering the surf. Residents should enjoy the dry skies on land but stay out of the water.
The good news ends Wednesday. NWS New York's Key Messages note that a very warm and very humid air mass returns Thursday into the weekend, with the potential for scattered afternoon and early-evening heavy downpours and thunderstorm activity beginning as early as Wednesday afternoon and continuing through the weekend. The pattern that soaked the Northeast through late July and into early August has not run its course.
Sources: NWS New York (OKX) · NBC New York · ABC7 NY
Mid-Atlantic & East Coast
Mid-Atlantic Dries Out Behind Monday's Front — A Quiet Tuesday Before the Next Threat Builds Wednesday Into the Weekend
The same cold front that ended Monday's flooding misery in New York and New Jersey pushed southeast through the mid-Atlantic overnight, bringing a welcome clearing line to Baltimore, Washington, Philadelphia, and Richmond by early Tuesday morning. The NWS Weather Prediction Center's Short Range Forecast Discussion, issued Monday at 3:59 a.m., noted that the front would move eastward off the Northeast Coast and across the mid-Atlantic into the Southern Appalachians by Wednesday — meaning Tuesday is the region's window of clear, lower-humidity weather before the next system arrives.
For Tuesday, most of the mid-Atlantic corridor can expect partly to mostly sunny skies, seasonable temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, and meaningfully lower dew points compared to the oppressive conditions of Monday. Flood-impacted areas in Baltimore, Annapolis, and northern Virginia are using the break to clean up debris and assess infrastructure damage from Monday's rounds of heavy rainfall.
The outlook past Tuesday grows more unsettled. The WPC's Short Range Discussion flagged a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Upper Great Lakes, Middle Mississippi Valley, and Central Plains on Wednesday as the next frontal system begins organizing. The NWS Climate Prediction Center's extended outlook through August 10 favors above-normal temperatures and above-normal precipitation across the Northeast and mid-Atlantic, indicating the active pattern is not wrapping up before the weekend. Residents from Philadelphia through the Carolinas are advised to enjoy Tuesday and monitor closely for the next round beginning Wednesday afternoon.
Sources: NWS Weather Prediction Center · NWS Baltimore/Washington · NOAA Climate Prediction Center
Florida
South Florida's Wet Week Continues Tuesday — 50 to 60 Percent Storm Chances Return as Minor Flood Risk Lingers Through Midweek
Florida is not sharing in the Northeast's brief Tuesday dry spell. CBS Miami's NEXT Weather team reported that Monday and Tuesday afternoons and evenings carry the highest rain chances of the week for South Florida — a 50 to 60 percent probability of showers and storms — with isolated heavy downpours capable of producing minor flooding. Most of South Florida remains under a Level 1 out of 4 flood risk designation heading into Tuesday, a signal that the area is still in a vulnerable pattern.
High temperatures Tuesday are forecast in the lower 90s across Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties, which is seasonably warm but well within August norms. AccuWeather's monthly data shows Miami's August highs typically ranging from the mid-80s to low 90s, and this week is running close to average on temperatures even as rainfall exceeds typical daily totals. Heat index values will again approach or exceed 100°F during the peak afternoon hours.
Across the rest of the state, the NWS Saint Augustine forecast showed a 50 percent storm chance Tuesday with highs near 90°F, consistent with the statewide pattern of morning sun giving way to afternoon convection. Orlando is forecast to reach 90°F Tuesday according to AccuWeather. The NWS Weather Prediction Center noted that heavy rainfall is expected to accumulate across portions of the Gulf Coast from southeastern Louisiana to west-central Florida over the five-day period, with totals of 3 to 5-plus inches possible in some locations. The tropical Atlantic remains relatively quiet as of Tuesday, with no organized systems posing an immediate threat to Florida.
Sources: CBS Miami · NWS Miami · NWS Saint Augustine · AccuWeather · NWS Weather Prediction Center
Southeast
Gulf Coast Humidity Returns Tuesday as Front Lifts North — New Orleans and Baton Rouge Back Into a Storm Pattern After Monday's Brief Respite
The one-day window of lower humidity that Monday's cold front briefly delivered to the Gulf Coast is already closing by Tuesday. The frontal boundary that pushed through over the weekend stalled near the coast and is now expected to lift back northward, allowing Gulf moisture to reassert itself across Louisiana, Mississippi, and the Alabama coast. What felt like a genuine reprieve on Monday — comfortable air, limited rain, and lower dew points — is giving way to the familiar August combination of heat and humidity by Tuesday afternoon.
New Orleans and Baton Rouge are forecast to return to high temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s with heat index values approaching 105°F as southerly flow resumes. Daily afternoon storm development is expected to return to the standard Gulf Coast summer pattern, with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developing during peak heating hours. The NWS Weather Prediction Center's five-day precipitation outlook calls for 3 to 5-plus inches of accumulation across portions of the Gulf Coast through the weekend, with some of the heaviest totals possible across the Florida Panhandle and coastal Alabama.
The Southeast broadly remains in a hot, active pattern through the rest of the week. Above-normal temperatures are favored across Georgia, the Carolinas, and the entire Gulf Coast corridor according to the NWS Climate Prediction Center extended outlook valid through August 10. Residents across the region who enjoyed Monday's brief front-driven relief should prepare for a return to full August conditions — hot, humid, and stormy — through at least the weekend.
Sources: NWS New Orleans · NWS Mobile/Pensacola · NWS Weather Prediction Center · NOAA Climate Prediction Center
Midwest
Midwest Catches a Breather Tuesday as Cold Front Clears the Ohio Valley — Next Threat Rebuilds Wednesday Across the Upper Great Lakes and Central Plains
After a destructive Monday that brought severe thunderstorms, damaging winds, and flash flooding concerns to a corridor from the upper Midwest through the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes, Tuesday is arriving with noticeably quieter conditions behind the departing cold front. The NWS Storm Prediction Center's Slight Risk of severe weather for Monday's system has cleared the forecast area, and WeatherBug's Tuesday national outlook shows the Midwest, Ohio Valley, and Great Lakes corridor settling into the 70s and 80s — a comfortable departure from the heat and instability that drove Monday's activity.
Chicago and the broader upper Midwest are seeing the clearest skies and most pleasant conditions of the week as the front exits eastward. Residents in flood-impacted areas of Ohio, Michigan, and the Pennsylvania border region are assessing damage from Monday's heavy rainfall, which compounded already-saturated soil conditions following repeated events over the past two weeks.
The quiet is short-lived. The NWS Weather Prediction Center's Short Range Forecast Discussion issued Monday morning flagged a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall developing over parts of the Upper Great Lakes, Middle Mississippi Valley, and Central Plains on Wednesday as the next frontal system begins to organize. The extended WPC outlook also noted that a reasonably strong front is expected to push through the Midwest and Central Plains by Thursday, potentially triggering a corridor of heavy rain and thunderstorms along and ahead of it. The second half of the week looks active again, and residents across the region should monitor forecasts closely heading into Wednesday night and Thursday.
Sources: NWS Storm Prediction Center · NWS Weather Prediction Center · WeatherBug · NWS Cleveland
Texas & Oklahoma
DFW Hits 102°F Again Tuesday With No Rain in Sight — Triple-Digit Heat Locked In Through the Weekend, Heat Index Near 108
North Texas residents hoping Monday's heat advisory signaled a temporary peak will find no comfort in Tuesday's forecast. NBC 5 DFW is calling for a high of 102°F Tuesday with plentiful sunshine and southerly winds at 10 to 15 mph — virtually identical to Monday — with heat index values expected to again approach or exceed 108°F during peak afternoon hours. AccuWeather's monthly August forecast for Dallas shows daily highs ranging from 96 to 103°F through the remainder of the month, with this week tracking right at the top of that range.
The NWS Fort Worth/Dallas office confirmed that a strong upper-level ridge of high pressure is firmly in control of the region, maintaining afternoon temperatures between 100 and 105°F daily with overnight lows holding in the upper 70s to low 80s. That overnight floor means the atmosphere and infrastructure are given minimal recovery time between successive hot days — a compounding factor for heat-related illness risk across the Metroplex.
NBC 5 DFW's extended seven-day forecast tells the same story through the entire work week and weekend: 102°F Wednesday, 100°F Thursday, 98°F Friday, and back to 100°F through next Monday. Rain chances remain essentially zero until a marginal disturbance offers a slight chance of relief late Friday, though forecasters are not optimistic about significant rainfall. The Dallas Express noted that school athletics programs across the region are now required under UIL rules to use Wet Bulb Globe Temperature measurements — rather than heat index alone — to determine when outdoor practices must be suspended. Residents are strongly urged to limit outdoor activity during peak afternoon hours, stay hydrated, and check on neighbors who may lack reliable air conditioning.
Sources: NBC 5 DFW · NWS Fort Worth/Dallas · AccuWeather · Dallas Express
Mountain West
Heat Dome Holds Over the Rockies and High Plains Tuesday — Some Relief Nudges Into the Northern Tier as Fire Danger Remains Critical in Wyoming and Montana
The expansive heat dome that has dominated the Mountain West for well over a week continues to hold on Tuesday, with AccuWeather maintaining that searing heat will persist across the Desert Southwest and Great Basin through at least the first week of August. The NWS's extended forecast outlook, valid through August 10, confirmed that the upper ridge causing excessive heat over the Southwest will gradually intensify and expand north and eastward late in the week, potentially bringing hot temperatures deeper into the Intermountain West and Plains.
Wyoming remains under heat advisories Tuesday, with temperatures in lower basin areas around Casper expected in the upper 90s to near 102°F. Red Flag Fire Warnings are again in effect through the afternoon across much of the state, with single-digit relative humidity and gusty afternoon winds keeping fire behavior analysts on high alert. Montana's northern tier is seeing a modest improvement as a Pacific shortwave edges in from the northwest, nudging temperatures a few degrees lower than the peak readings of the past several days — but conditions remain dangerous well above normal.
Colorado's Front Range is holding in the high 90s to near triple digits Tuesday. The NWS Storm Prediction Center is monitoring the region for isolated severe wind gusts across the southern High Plains as the pattern evolves later in the week. Death Valley and the eastern Sierra Nevada remain among the hottest locations on the planet this week, with Death Valley expected near or above 120°F Tuesday and Bishop, California, approaching 104°F. Heat advisories from NWS offices in Denver, Bismarck, and Rapid City remain in effect, covering an enormous geographic swath of the interior West and northern High Plains.
Sources: AccuWeather · NWS Storm Prediction Center · NWS Denver · NWS Weather Prediction Center
Desert Southwest
Las Vegas Forecast at 114°F Tuesday — NWS Extreme Heat Warning Extended Through the Week as Phoenix Remains Among the Nation's Hottest Cities
There is no meaningful relief in sight for the Desert Southwest on Tuesday, with Las Vegas forecast to reach 114°F — just one degree below the city's all-time record high for August 4, according to the NWS Las Vegas office. Hoodline's reporting Monday confirmed that the NWS extreme heat warning for the Las Vegas Valley has been extended well beyond the original Wednesday expiration, and that forecast highs through Thursday are within a few degrees of daily records. Overnight lows are expected to remain near 87 to 90°F, providing almost no physiological recovery window for the city's more than 2.2 million residents.
Southwest winds will increase through Tuesday afternoon, reaching 17 mph with gusts as high as 26 mph, according to the NWS Las Vegas forecast. These breezy conditions can make outdoor heat exposure feel more punishing and dangerously accelerate dehydration. Clark County's cooling stations at community centers, libraries, and public buildings across the Las Vegas Valley remain open and are being used heavily. Residents without reliable air conditioning are urged in the strongest possible terms to use these resources during peak heating hours.
The Weather Channel reported Monday that Las Vegas has now logged ten or more days at or above 110°F this summer, approaching the city's modern record for consecutive such days. Phoenix remains in the same extraordinary heat regime, with the Weather Channel forecasting that Phoenix and Las Vegas could both see highs of 114°F Tuesday and not drop below 110°F until at least Wednesday. AccuWeather's August calendar for Las Vegas confirms the pattern: temperatures are running 8 to 12 degrees above the city's average August high of 103°F, with no significant break in the ridge forecast through the end of the week.
Sources: NWS Las Vegas · Hoodline · Las Vegas Review-Journal · The Weather Channel · AccuWeather
California
Death Valley Near 120°F Tuesday as Interior Valley Heat Stays Above 103°F — Oregon Wildfire Smoke Continues to Degrade Air Quality Across Northern California
California remains in the grip of the same western heat dome that has made the past ten days among the most dangerous on modern record for the state's interior communities. Death Valley is forecast near 120°F Tuesday, with overnight lows holding around 95 to 96°F — a temperature that gives the human body almost no chance to dissipate the heat accumulated during the day. Interior valley communities from Redding south through Fresno and Bakersfield are expected in the 103 to 107°F range under mostly sunny skies.
The coastal marine layer continues to provide limited relief for communities within a few miles of the ocean. Los Angeles-area beaches and Bay Area coastal communities are forecast in the upper 70s to mid-80s on Tuesday, but these comfortable numbers exist in sharp contrast to the extreme heat that greets residents just five to ten miles inland. Extreme Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories remain in effect for the vast majority of California's population, and cooling centers statewide are open and at or near capacity.
The air quality situation continues to compound the heat hazard across Northern California. Oregon's record-shattering 2026 wildfire season has now burned more than 1.978 million acres as of August 2, and smoke from the state's 60-plus active large fires continues to pour southward into Northern California and the Sierra Nevada foothills. IQAir data shows Unhealthy to Very Unhealthy AQI readings across much of the northern third of the state on Tuesday. California residents are urged to take both hazards seriously: drink water, avoid extended outdoor exertion, and limit exposure to the smoke-laden air, especially during the hottest hours of the afternoon.
Sources: NWS Los Angeles · NWS Sacramento · NWS Las Vegas · IQAir · AccuWeather
Pacific Northwest
Oregon's 2026 Wildfire Season Holds at 1.978 Million Acres Tuesday — Shingle Fire Still Only 16 Percent Contained as Smoke Blankets the Region
Oregon's catastrophic 2026 wildfire season remained at 1.978 million acres as of the August 4 morning reporting cycle, holding the historic all-time state acreage record it crossed on August 2. FireRisk.ai's August 4 update on the Shingle Fire in Wheeler County confirmed that the blaze remains at 67,416 acres with containment holding at just 16 percent — the same figure reported the previous day, indicating that no meaningful perimeter progress was made overnight. The fire, ignited by lightning on July 23, is burning through short-grass fuel and continues to demand significant resources.
The IQAir and Central Oregon Fire Information updates from August 2 documented the broader picture: the Rowe Creek Complex at 313,439 acres with 55 percent containment; the Hay Creek Complex near 98 percent contained after burning more than 200,000 acres; and the Akawa Butte Fire in Jefferson County stalled at 27,287 acres with only 5 percent containment as of the most recent reporting cycle. Numerous smaller fires remain active across central and eastern Oregon as firefighters continue responding to changing fire conditions.
The ABC News and AccuWeather reports from Tuesday morning confirmed that the high temperatures, extremely dry conditions, and gusty winds that have driven Oregon's season to unprecedented levels will persist across the Pacific Northwest through the week. Smoke from Oregon's fires continues to generate Unhealthy air quality readings across a wide area stretching from the Pacific Northwest eastward into the northern High Plains and southward into Texas and California. Residents across the region should continue to follow all local evacuation orders and official guidance, limit outdoor exposure on days with elevated smoke, and monitor Watch Duty or local fire authority updates for the most current fire status information.
Sources: FireRisk.ai · Central Oregon Fire Information · IQAir · ABC News · NWS Portland · AccuWeather